I call them the “Big Noise.”
It’s the modern mainstream media conglomerate that overwhelms you with a daily stream of useless garbage.
And like “Big Oil” or “Big Tech,” it has the power to not only set market rules, but to control the narrative.
And right now, the Big Noise wants you to give up on making money in real estate.
Check this out:
This is from CNBC, one of the biggest “Big Noise” companies out there.
The story suggests that the property market is slowing down…
But it’s simply not the case.
The real data tells a completely different story.
The U.S. Real Estate Market Is Firing on All Cylinders
I pay way more attention to raw data than to any “analysis” coming out of the Big Noise outlets.
And a recent report from the National Association of Realtors has confirmed what my regular readers and I knew already: the market is doing fine.
According to the National Association of Realtors latest quarterly report, approximately nine out of 10 U.S. metro markets registered home price gains in the fourth quarter of 2022 despite mortgage rates eclipsing 7 percent. Eighteen percent of the 186 tracked metro areas registered double-digit price increases over the same time period, down from 46% in the third quarter of 2022.
Let me restate…
Homes in 90% of the U.S. saw their prices increase in 2022.
Despite the higher interest rates… despite the inflation… and despite the incessant recession fears.
The market tells you what no analyst would.
The prices are sending a very clear signal: there’s growth, and it’s broad-based and persistent.
Over the past three years (including the “disastrous” 2022), the typical home price has risen 42%.
And we still have quite a bit of the 18.6-year cycle left to run.
It’s not the end of the bull market in property, whatever the “Big Noise” tells you.
In February, I advised you to ignore the false alarms you see in the media.
Here’s what I said:
My role is to help guide you through all the “false alarms” that you’ll hear before then… The commentators and so-called experts who are calling for a crash and recession now (the same experts and commentators who have gotten almost everything wrong the past few years).
If they say it two or three years from now, we could take them seriously. But not today. Because the timing isn’t right yet. We’re not in the right stage of the 18.6-year cycle for the downturn.
That won’t come until 2025-2026.
Until then, we’ll keep riding the cycle up.
Editor, Cycles Trading with Phil Anderson