You may not have noticed this…

And I won’t blame you. There’s so much noise in the news you lose track of the most important trends driving the markets.

And right now, the most important trend is that the global economy will do fine well into 2025–2026.

Closer to 2026, we will see the first signs of a downturn.

That’s what my 18.6-year cycle predicts.

But before that, the economy will continue growing.

Here’s why…

The Economy Is Strong

The latest U.S jobs data confirm that the United States economy is doing well. It added 236,000 jobs in March, and the current unemployment rate is still a measly 3.5%.

The latest annual inflation number, at 5%, is at the lowest level since May 2021.

A healthy job market and cooling inflation are signs of a healthy economy.

This tells me that we’re nowhere near the end of this cycle yet.

Even the Mainstream Media Are Rethinking Their Recession Calls

Mainstream media switches between unconstrained optimism and pessimism all the time.

Strong emotions sell… but they don’t help people make the best investment decisions.

For example, the financial media was obsessed with the fallout of Silicon Valley Bank. Major outlets posted up-to-the-second updates on the unraveling of those institutions.

Investors got scared and started buying Treasurys – a popular safe haven – in droves.

Bond market volatility went through the roof…

And now it’s Wall Street’s favorite pastime to explain what in the world happened to the bond market.

The best explanation? Emotional trading.

And now even mainstream media outlets such as Bloomberg suggest that investors smashed the red button too hard:

Image: Bloomberg

The market has fooled itself again. It followed the wrong narrative (that Silicon Valley Bank’s failure will drag the economy into a crisis), and now it’s trying to rationalize what’s going on and what to do next.

Instead of listening to this madness, sit back, stay calm, and follow the 18.6-year cycle.

The economy is doing well.

There’s no imminent recession in sight. In fact, I’m so confident that there’s no imminent crash coming, I held a special event called The Eleventh Hour earlier this week.

I discussed how you can learn to “see” the reliable cycles and patterns the market has followed for hundreds of years…

How, if you know what to do, you can create generational wealth.

And why now is the right time to get into the right stocks.

Today is the last day to watch my briefing and take advantage of a special charter member deal for my first ever U.S.-based newsletter. Don’t miss out.



Phil Anderson
Editor, Cycles Trading with Phil Anderson