Numbers don’t lie.
But it depends on what numbers you use to make your investment decisions.
Most of the market listens to the Federal Reserve because the one number that rules the financial world is the U.S. key interest rate.
When the market thinks rates will go up, it panics. Any sign that they will go down produces market euphoria.
Another one is inflation. The most recent data says that in April, consumer prices rose by 3.4% on an annual basis.
It’s just 0.1 percentage points lower than the March reading, but this slight deceleration was enough to send markets into record-high territory.
I’m not going to argue that these numbers are important.
But the most important one, as my readers know, is 18.6. That’s the average length of the 18.6-year real estate cycle.
And the most recent economic data confirms that my theory is right.
Here’s how I interpret this data…
Lower Inflation Will Accelerate the 18.6-Year Cycle
Last year, I said that markets would enter frenzy mode soon.
This was before every talking head on CNBC and other financial media outlets started talking about lower interest rates and better times for stocks.
Back in September 2023, I wrote:
My 18.6-year real estate cycle told me that we would get a mid-cycle slowdown in 2020… and that the economy wouldn’t peak until 2025-2026.
The world is currently headed into the final, frenzied stage of the real estate cycle. It’s the part that I’ve been calling the “Eleventh Hour”… in which growth accelerates…
Yesterday, this happened:
History unfolds exactly as I predicted. Stock markets are at all-time highs.
Even gold… which should not perform too well given the lower-than-expected inflation… is on fire. (Gold is usually seen as an inflation hedge that is supposed to appreciate when inflation accelerates.)
Well, according to the 18.6-year real estate cycle, gold and other assets should be soaring.
And that’s exactly what has been happening.
Markets are up across the board. That’s what my knowledge of the 18.6-year cycle predicts.
Most investors don’t understand what’s going on. They are either scared or euphoric.
Well, in the beginning, I said that numbers don’t lie. The most important number, 18.6, has guided my investment decision-making for decades.
And right now, my cycle theory says that we have years of growth ahead.
It’s your choice to either ignore this and rely on other “important” numbers… or to trust my system.
While everybody else will remain surprised, my readers will know exactly what is going on… and how to profit from it.
Regards,
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Phil Anderson
Contributing Editor, Inside Wall Street with Nomi Prins