BALTIMORE, Maryland – We are all originarios

There were two newsworthy developments last week, neither of them really important – the first because it won’t happen, the second because it won’t matter.

First, the Fed let it be known that it has “normalcy” once again in its sights.

“Prospect of rate rise grows as U.S. moves closer to passing Fed tests,” reported the Financial Times on Monday.

As we know, the Fed can’t return to normal because normal includes a correction on Wall Street – the very thing it has worked so desperately and recklessly to avoid. Mark our words: The Fed will never willingly return to normal, market-discovered interest rates.

Second, barring a major surprise, Donald Trump sewed up the Republican nomination. Many readers are counting on The Donald to “Make America Great Again.” Alas, it won’t be that easy.

Voters can do what they want; the important decisions are made by the unelected elite of the Deep State. Ron Unz described how it worked in 2012:

The sweeping victory of […] Barack Obama, represented more a repudiation of Bush and his policies than anything else, and leading political activists, left and right alike, characterized Obama as Bush’s absolute antithesis, both in background and in ideology. This sentiment was certainly shared abroad, with Obama being selected for the Nobel Peace Prize just months after entering office, based on the widespread assumption that he was certain to reverse most of the policies of his detested predecessor and restore America to sanity.
Yet almost none of these reversals took place. Instead, the continuity of administration policy has been so complete and so obvious that many critics now routinely speak of the Bush/Obama administration.

Trump’s nomination is clearly a repudiation of the Bush/Obama administration… and the Deep State itself. But who cares what the voters want?

Evil or Dumb?

But let us return to the mountains of Northwest Argentina… where several dear readers have sided with the originarios. One French reader:

I hope they will win // maybe you can give them half of your sandy ranch and everybody will be happy… You say the “law” is on your side. But you know the law is always on the side of the rich.
You should just give them all your RANCH…

Several noted that they thought it was “greedy” of us to try to hold onto the land we paid for. None, however, volunteered to return his own land to the Cheyenne, the Chippewa, or the Cherokee originarios of North America.

But wait. We’re all originarios

More than 100 years after the Native Americans of the Calchaqui Valley had been dispossessed, the Scots were losing their land to the English. Our family got its start in America when Seamus McCeney was captured at the Battle of Culloden… shipped to the New World… and sold into indentured servitude on Kent Island, in the Chesapeake Bay.  What happened to his ancestral land in Scotland?

But  reader sentiment was about evenly split. Half thought we were evil. The other half thought we were just dumb. We’re not sure ourselves…

“Yeah, Dad,” added one of our own children. “You should just give it to them. Ha ha… It would be better for us if you stopped spending your money down there.”

Looking at it selfishly, this is a battle that his father would be better off losing. As it is, he has the privilege of paying seven salaries… property taxes… equipment, fuel, and maintenance… with almost no hope of ever turning a profit.

The originarios are trying to drive him off. If he had any sense, he would raise the white flag.

It would serve them right.

Welfare Programs Never Work

And now this update from our lawyer:

The activists were paid by the government to cause trouble. They don’t really want the land. They’ve already got plenty of land. And what would they do with it? They’ve already got thousands of mountain cattle and goats that they can’t sell. This is just a political shakedown.
The originarios barricaded the road to [the upper pasture]. They claim we abandoned the land. They have some sort of government decree signed by a guy who worked for the Kirchner government. They say it gives them the right to the pasture. But it was signed a month after he was fired. Very strange. And we just took the cows off the pasture two months ago. Because of the drought, there was nothing for them to eat.
We’re getting to the bottom of it… but it’s taking time. The important thing is that the new government isn’t supporting these activists anymore.

“Dad…” a canny son continues, “you know welfare programs don’t work. But that’s what you’ve got there… a private welfare program.

“You improved the church. You bought miles of pipe so they could have running water in their houses. You bought that backhoe and two tractors and other equipment. You fixed the roads. You give out scholarships. You pay those salaries, even though you don’t really need that many workers. You lose money every year…

“You claim to be ranching, but you’re really just redistributing money. From us to them. The whole thing is absurd. You charge them rent – a couple goats and a skinny cow. Then, you can’t do anything with the animals… so you allow them to give you a few pesos instead. After inflation, you get about 70 cents a year, total, for a house and a farm. And if they don’t pay, you can’t do anything about it anyway.

“And now, instead of thanking you… they rebel against you. But what do you expect? Welfare programs never work. Give people something for nothing and they hate you because you make them feel inferior.”

Maybe he’s right. We’re going back to Scotland! At least, there’s water there.




Market Insight


U.S. small-cap stocks have soared since their bottom in February…

As you can see from today’s chart, the small-cap Russell 2000 Index is up 19%.

Small-cap stocks tend to get most of their revenue from domestic growth. So strong gains in this segment are generally considered to be a sign of economic improvement.

Featured Reads

Shocking Number of Millennials Live With Parents
Rising house prices make houses unaffordable for many millennials. And now that rent across the country is soaring higher, more working millennials are living with Mom.

Myth: The President Can Save the Economy
As Bill has been saying, all presidents have limited power. He or she will not be able to increase GDP. The real issue is how wealth gets redistributed.

The Best Way to Get Rich With Stocks
Investing legends like Warren Buffett and John Templeton used this one skill to build wealth. Many investors don’t do this… but those who do stand to get rich with stocks.


It appears Bill penned another instant classic yesterday. The praise has been pouring in for Tuesday’s Diary – The Biggest Fools on the Planet.”


— Tony D.  

Very good thoughts & critique today, Bill.

— Peter W.  

Right on, Bill.

— Ron B.  

Opening essay is spot on.

— Herbert A.  

I always enjoy your stories, but this was one of my favorites! Brightened my day for a fact.

— Dawn  

Once again the great Maestro Bill Bonner nails it again. Bill is like an Exocet missile – he hones in on his target from a thousand miles away and destroys it every time.

Thank god he’s on the right side or with his intellect we’d all be in trouble. Thanks again Mr. Bonner.

— Anthony O.  

My 30 year old son spent 5 years in a university that taught him very little about how to be productive. Unfortunately, he has been unable to find a job in the world of the unproductive so he’s working for me.

Over the past several years, we have been stymied by the 20,000 new regulations imposed by the "caring" government, making it ever more difficult and expensive to produce anything.

We now have 100 million people taking checks from the government for doing nothing and only 100 million people working to pay the taxes to support them. And I’m still paying off my son’s college debt.

It’s a good thing I never went to college.

— Mark B.

Bill as a retired dean and professor (business) I can attest that it’s actually worse than you think on college campuses.

Most university schools of business, engineering and other "hard" disciplines include a fair number of level headed folks that are completely intimidated by the loons in other social science schools and liberal arts. Those loons have never met a bizarre idea that they couldn’t turn into an academic discipline with all the monetary benefits that go with it.

I will say, "Shame on you for not doing your due diligence before dropping $100k on that den of iniquity."

Keep up the good fight, but really, watch where you throw your money!

— John G.

Regarding the U of V President’s quote, “Criticism and cynicism will not lead to a constructive solution.” I would argue that ONLY criticism and cynicism from THOUGHTFUL sources ever lead to constructive solutions via free speech, testing of hypotheses, argumentative reasoning, and change.

— Jim B.

This is the best rant I have ever read from you!

Keep up the blunt observations – they are sorely needed!

— Karen T.

In Case You Missed It…

Doug Casey just released his shocking forecast for America…

He says, in late 2016, the worst financial depression in history will hit… wiping out the savings of unprepared investors.

But for those who see the writing on the wall now, it presents a rare opportunity… a chance to make thousands while this crisis transpires.

Doug reveals everything you need to know right here.